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Red64
922510.0
612820.1
609028.5
Blue99
515240.6
477637.3
323412.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599002040801001201401606499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+19
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
55Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
64Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#16
28.50.6
29.530.1
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End3.1
blue by 12.1
40.61.3
36.037.3
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
Second
6128
#37
20.10.6
18.419.0
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End1.8
blue by 17.2
37.31.6
33.435.0
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
Third
9225
#36
10.00.6
9.39.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
blue by 2.3
3234
#17
12.41.6
10.311.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned