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Red135
477637.3
781013.4
515240.6
Blue105
705428.6
861223.9
8532.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9788406080120140160135105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
73Total teleop67
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
135Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.61.0
38.839.8
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 8.4
85
#11
32.20.6
30.631.1
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End3.7
Second
37.31.0
35.636.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
red by 8.7
28.60.6
27.027.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Third
7810
#32
13.41.0
11.712.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 10.5
8612
#24
23.90.6
22.322.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.2
End2.2