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Red127
999722.2
103841.4
364137.2
Blue47
45127.0
125029.3
509011.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5776020040060080012747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
73Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
32Foul points0
127Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#17
41.41.3
29.931.2
Auto3.4
Teleop33.9
End4.1
red by 12.1
1250
#32
29.31.8
29.527.8
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
Second
3641
#19
37.21.3
24.425.7
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
red by 10.2
451
#33
27.01.8
26.124.3
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
Third
9997
#22
22.22.1
12.714.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 10.5
5090
#34
11.71.8
10.48.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed