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Qual 172025 Cullens Cancer Clash (C3)
Red141
353853.0
654860.4
516642.7
Blue93
54840.5
828060.4
564128.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16512105010015020025030014193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+44Teleop
+46Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points24
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
89Total teleop56
Reef
13L4#4
4L3#5
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
2Foul points0
141Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#6
60.40.5
51.5→51.0
Auto18.9
Teleop37.5
End4.0
Level
8280
#4
60.41.7
53.0→51.3
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Second
3538
#16
53.02.3
50.8→48.5
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
red by 12.5
548
#20
40.51.7
40.2→38.6
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
Third
5166
#14
42.70.5
46.5→45.9
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
red by 14.7
5641
#31
28.01.7
24.8→23.2
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed