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Red91
999119.9
54840.5
509011.7
Blue158
998642.8
828060.4
365662.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50151010020025030091158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+55
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave9
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points42
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +27
12Coral scored#19
42Coral points69
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
64Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#6
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#7
21Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
91Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#20
40.52.0
38.640.6
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
blue by 21.8
62.21.0
51.752.7
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.2
Second
9991
#29
19.93.3
5.79.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
blue by 40.4
60.41.0
51.352.3
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Third
5090
#34
11.72.0
8.610.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 31.1
9986
#13
42.81.7
31.232.9
Auto18.6
Teleop16.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned