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Red53
24730.1
999814.4
45127.0
Blue189
402880.0
360464.3
509011.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54196010015025030053189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+108
Endgame+130
Fouls+136
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points37
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +77
8Coral scored#27
27Coral points98
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
45Total teleop122
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#14
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +136
0Foul points6
53Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#8
30.11.8
25.123.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.0
blue by 49.9
80.01.2
81.983.2
Auto17.3
Teleop51.5
End11.3
Second
451
#33
27.01.8
27.025.2
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
blue by 37.3
64.31.2
57.658.9
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
Third
9998
#35
14.43.0
13.910.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End2.7
red by 2.7
5090
#34
11.71.2
11.312.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned