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Red152
360464.3
557727.1
1034928.4
Blue130
364137.2
309833.4
353853.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12112580100140160152130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
+8Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
12Processor points12
32Net points16
44Algae points28
91Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
14Foul points0
152Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.3
62.563.7
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
red by 11.3
3538
#16
53.01.3
45.346.6
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
Second
28.41.3
23.024.3
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End0.1
blue by 8.8
3641
#19
37.21.3
26.627.8
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
Third
5577
#24
27.11.3
22.223.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
blue by 6.3
3098
#26
33.41.3
28.029.2
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed