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Red112
170181.2
5144.1
Blue86
999525.2
564128.0
837340.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1577005010020025030011286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
87Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
112Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.21.6
79.978.3
Auto20.7
Teleop51.8
End8.7
red by 40.4
8373
#21
40.80.2
41.941.7
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End3.3
Second
51
#30
44.11.6
49.848.2
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 16.0
5641
#31
28.00.2
27.527.3
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
Third
6.11.6
0.1-1.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
blue by 19.1
9995
#18
25.20.3
13.913.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed