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Red174
608151.1
837340.8
721142.5
Blue143
999525.2
45127.0
365662.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14211850100200174143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +41
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points68
5Processor algae#2
9Net algae#5
30Processor points12
36Net points20
66Algae points32
141Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#8
7L3#9
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
174Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.12.2
46.148.4
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3
blue by 11.2
62.20.9
58.559.5
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.2
Second
7211
#12
42.52.2
37.139.3
Auto7.7
Teleop26.4
End8.3
red by 15.4
451
#33
27.00.9
25.026.0
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
Third
8373
#21
40.82.2
39.141.4
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End3.3
red by 15.6
9995
#18
25.21.2
24.325.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned