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Red122
5144.1
45127.0
364137.2
Blue150
319335.3
353853.0
999722.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151198090100110130140150122150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points34
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
19Coral scored#23
68Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
92Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#12
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
122Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#30
44.11.1
40.741.8
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
blue by 8.9
3538
#16
53.02.8
49.952.7
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
Second
3641
#19
37.21.1
33.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
red by 1.9
3193
#10
35.32.8
34.437.2
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4
Third
451
#33
27.01.1
26.027.0
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
red by 4.8
9997
#22
22.23.1
19.122.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed