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Red217
716664.1
125029.3
828060.4
Blue204
654860.4
608151.1
506662.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16718350100150200250300217204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+21
Endgame+3
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave0
6Coral scored#12
30Coral points58
33Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +4
23Coral scored#27
84Coral points96
5Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
30Processor points18
28Net points24
58Algae points42
142Total teleop138
Reef
14L4#18
8L3#12
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#48
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +13
18Foul points2
217Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.11.0
64.465.4
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
red by 1.9
5066
#15
62.10.7
61.462.1
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
Second
60.41.0
60.761.7
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Level
60.40.7
59.760.4
Auto18.9
Teleop37.5
End4.0
Third
1250
#32
29.31.0
29.630.6
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
blue by 21.8
51.10.7
50.451.1
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3