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Red58
54840.5
319335.3
516642.7
Blue188
5144.1
24730.1
661565.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515405010020025030058188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+104
Endgame+126
Fouls+130
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +79
8Coral scored#18
30Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#9
6Processor points18
4Net points36
10Algae points54
40Total teleop119
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +130
2Foul points6
58Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#14
42.71.5
44.242.7
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
blue by 23.0
6615
#25
65.71.1
63.964.9
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
Second
548
#20
40.51.5
42.040.5
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
blue by 3.6
51
#30
44.11.1
42.243.3
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Third
3193
#10
35.31.5
36.835.3
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4
red by 5.2
247
#8
30.11.1
28.329.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.0