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Red237
1042120.2
3377.2
924578.2
Blue135
400340.6
191870.5
387535.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210171100150250300237135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+96Teleop
+96Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +78
39Coral scored#18
139Coral points65
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
173Total teleop95
Reef
21L4#8
10L3#7
6L2#2
8L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +102
6Foul points0
237Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.20.8
77.378.2
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 7.7
70.50.6
71.170.5
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Second
33
#2
77.20.8
76.377.2
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 36.5
40.60.6
41.340.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
Third
20.20.8
19.420.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 14.9
35.10.6
35.735.1
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End5.2