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Red211
400340.6
3377.2
387535.1
Blue185
1042120.2
910626.3
191870.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179129050100150200250300211185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
37Coral scored#31
132Coral points113
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
160Total teleop151
Reef
16L4#11
10L3#9
9L2#8
8L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points2
211Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
77.21.5
71.973.4
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 6.7
70.52.0
69.571.4
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Second
40.61.5
40.141.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
red by 14.3
26.32.0
27.429.4
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Third
35.11.5
34.636.1
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End5.2
red by 14.9
20.22.0
14.616.5
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned