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Red164
924578.2
400340.6
956623.9
Blue106
191870.5
1042120.2
496741.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186181120140160200220164106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+46Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
25Coral points9
25Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
23Coral scored#16
81Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
18Processor points12
24Net points20
42Algae points32
123Total teleop90
Reef
13L4#8
5L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
164Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.20.2
69.268.9
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 7.7
70.54.7
69.564.8
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Second
40.60.2
43.042.8
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
blue by 0.8
4967
#10
41.54.7
56.251.5
Auto10.8
Teleop25.9
End4.8
Third
23.90.2
28.528.2
Auto3.4
Teleop19.3
End1.2
red by 3.6
20.24.7
15.110.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed