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Red257
1042120.2
3377.2
924578.2
Blue107
442240.7
910626.3
496741.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20313350100150250300257107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+128Teleop
+150Endgame
+150Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave0
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points9
41Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +96
34Coral scored#11
122Coral points38
3Processor algae#3
10Net algae#7
18Processor points18
40Net points28
58Algae points46
180Total teleop84
Reef
14L4#4
13L3#4
9L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
55Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +150
0Foul points0
257Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.21.6
74.476.0
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 36.7
4967
#10
41.50.6
44.543.9
Auto10.8
Teleop25.9
End4.8
Second
33
#2
77.21.6
73.475.0
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 36.5
40.70.6
43.743.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Third
20.21.6
16.518.1
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 6.1
26.30.6
29.428.7
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6