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Red260
1042120.2
3377.2
924578.2
Blue191
400340.6
191870.5
387535.1
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21317550100150250300350260191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +35
35Coral scored#32
127Coral points114
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#5
18Processor points12
36Net points20
54Algae points32
181Total teleop146
Reef
12L4#12
13L3#7
8L2#10
9L1 · trough#5
54Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +69
6Foul points0
260Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.21.3
76.077.3
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 7.7
70.50.4
71.171.6
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Second
33
#2
77.21.3
75.076.3
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 36.5
40.60.4
41.341.7
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
Third
20.21.3
18.119.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 14.9
35.10.4
35.836.2
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End5.2