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Red153
1042120.2
3377.2
924578.2
Blue148
400340.6
191870.5
387535.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216179100150200250300153148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points33
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +4
18Coral scored#21
65Coral points77
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
103Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#8
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
153Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.20.4
77.376.8
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 7.7
70.50.1
71.971.8
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Second
33
#2
77.20.4
76.375.8
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 36.5
40.60.1
42.042.0
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
Third
20.20.4
19.418.9
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 14.9
35.10.1
36.536.5
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End5.2