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Red138
22657.4
103833.0
721154.0
Blue214
365659.0
719742.8
477657.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157172100200250138214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+64
Endgame+64
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +32
0Leave9
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points35
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +32
19Coral scored#29
70Coral points106
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
6Processor points6
24Net points20
30Algae points26
100Total teleop132
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#11
4L2#9
2L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points12
138Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
57.40.2
57.657.4
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
blue by 1.6
59.01.0
58.659.6
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
7211
#17
54.00.2
54.154.0
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
blue by 3.5
57.51.0
57.158.1
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
Third
33.00.2
33.133.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2
blue by 9.8
7197
#19
42.81.0
42.443.4
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3