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Red191
6774.6
546069.1
515022.8
Blue170
2770.9
213768.5
610120.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176170140150160180190200210191170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
9Coral scored#9
47Coral points44
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +14
26Coral scored#18
92Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
114Total teleop100
Reef
10L4#6
11L3#11
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points0
191Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
74.60.4
74.274.6
Auto16.9
Teleop48.4
End9.3
red by 3.7
27
#2
70.90.2
70.770.9
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
Second
69.10.4
68.669.1
Auto21.3
Teleop41.6
End6.2
red by 0.5
68.50.2
68.368.5
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
Third
5150
#29
22.80.4
22.322.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
red by 2.6
6101
#21
20.20.2
20.020.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.2