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Red83
511441.8
769215.8
9416.3
Blue196
213768.5
6774.6
876721.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7616405010015020083196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+71
Endgame+83
Fouls+113
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +78
9Coral scored#23
31Coral points83
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
39Total teleop117
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#10
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +113
0Foul points30
83Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#16
41.80.3
41.641.9
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
blue by 32.9
67
#1
74.61.6
63.765.3
Auto16.9
Teleop48.4
End9.3
Second
94
#38
16.30.5
17.818.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 52.2
68.51.6
58.059.6
Auto17.9
Teleop41.5
End9.1
Third
7692
#19
15.80.5
16.316.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 6.0
8767
#31
21.81.6
17.419.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned