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Red39
499418.2
619016.8
769215.8
Blue95
1065624.5
837331.1
515022.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5678020401001203995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points28
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
32Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points30
39Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4994
#20
18.21.6
12.310.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9
blue by 12.9
8373
#18
31.10.9
28.327.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
Second
6190
#30
16.82.6
15.613.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.8
blue by 7.7
24.50.9
14.413.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End7.2
Third
7692
#19
15.82.6
20.918.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 7.0
5150
#29
22.80.9
21.020.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed