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Red75
456814.8
837331.1
377318.5
Blue101
89437.7
714716.1
107651.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691225010015020075101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+42
Endgame+50
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
36Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
24Foul points0
75Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#18
31.11.0
32.031.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7
blue by 20.4
51.50.1
50.550.5
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
Second
3773
#27
18.51.0
17.716.7
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 19.2
894
#7
37.70.1
34.634.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
Third
4568
#36
14.81.0
15.714.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 1.4
7147
#35
16.10.1
16.816.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned