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Red130
2770.9
128.8
332243.6
Blue92
722518.0
511441.8
456814.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14359010020025013092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
70Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
130Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
70.90.0
69.269.2
Auto14.0
Teleop46.6
End10.3
red by 29.2
5114
#16
41.81.7
36.738.4
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
Second
3322
#15
43.60.0
40.540.5
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
red by 25.6
7225
#25
18.01.7
12.213.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Third
1
#12
28.80.0
19.619.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End5.6
red by 14.0
4568
#36
14.81.7
17.419.1
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed