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Red90
89437.7
615233.8
511441.8
Blue119
566049.3
921028.4
584344.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221408010016018020022090119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#16
23Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
43Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#8
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
90Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#16
41.80.5
41.641.1
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End5.4
blue by 7.6
5660
#13
49.30.1
49.749.6
Auto6.9
Teleop35.9
End6.6
Second
894
#7
37.70.5
37.537.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.0
End7.3
blue by 6.9
44.60.1
44.944.8
Auto9.5
Teleop28.1
End6.9
Third
6152
#23
33.80.5
33.733.2
Auto6.8
Teleop24.0
End3.1
red by 5.5
9210
#17
28.40.1
28.728.6
Auto5.7
Teleop20.5
End2.3