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Red104
118842.7
83020.8
107651.5
Blue153
506638.5
332243.6
837331.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261126080100140160180104153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+37
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
15Coral scored#20
55Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
79Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#9
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
104Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.2
50.650.4
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
red by 7.8
3322
#15
43.61.0
42.043.0
Auto10.8
Teleop25.0
End7.8
Second
42.70.2
41.841.6
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
red by 4.2
38.51.0
36.937.9
Auto10.3
Teleop26.9
End1.3
Third
830
#26
20.80.2
20.420.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End3.9
blue by 10.2
8373
#18
31.11.0
29.530.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.7