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Red64
769215.8
556732.0
439521.7
Blue144
107651.5
83020.8
118842.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691365010015020064144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+78
Endgame+74
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave9
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points35
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +43
6Coral scored#16
23Coral points58
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
35Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#11
2L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#27
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points6
64Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#10
32.00.1
32.132.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End6.7
blue by 19.5
51.50.6
50.451.0
Auto14.0
Teleop35.0
End2.4
Second
4395
#24
21.70.1
21.821.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End4.2
blue by 21.0
42.70.6
41.642.2
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End3.2
Third
7692
#19
15.80.1
15.915.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 5.1
830
#26
20.80.6
20.220.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End3.9