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Red57
495615.6
975822.3
423722.9
Blue75
687729.3
876713.5
652820.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79692040601001205775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
42Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points0
57Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#19
22.92.5
31.729.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
blue by 6.4
6877
#22
29.30.2
23.824.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Second
9758
#25
22.32.5
19.817.2
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1
red by 1.8
6528
#11
20.50.2
18.919.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Third
4956
#31
15.62.5
14.311.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 2.1
8767
#40
13.50.2
16.817.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed