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Red43
781412.8
721019.3
781118.6
Blue71
522714.6
505621.4
611420.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47660204060801001204371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
28Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
43Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7210
#37
19.30.0
13.013.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 2.1
5056
#18
21.41.5
19.821.3
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
Second
7811
#27
18.60.0
15.015.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.5
blue by 1.8
6114
#14
20.31.5
20.822.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
Third
7814
#24
12.80.0
14.814.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End3.0
blue by 1.8
5227
#29
14.61.5
17.318.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned