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Red43
876713.5
720310.7
963816.4
Blue83
432513.3
262038.5
7425.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions468102040601001204383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points35
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
30Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
43Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9638
#35
16.40.8
13.212.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 22.1
38.50.8
30.831.6
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
Second
8767
#40
13.50.8
18.818.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End1.1
blue by 12.0
74
#20
25.50.8
20.321.1
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6
Third
7203
#34
10.70.8
9.68.7
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End2.3
blue by 2.7
4325
#39
13.30.8
16.817.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned