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Red68
561021.7
725620.8
975822.3
Blue120
584340.3
107640.4
505621.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6293020408012014016068120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+50
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +53
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
45Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
68Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9758
#25
22.30.1
19.119.0
Auto3.2
Teleop18.0
End1.1
blue by 18.1
40.43.4
28.732.1
Auto6.7
Teleop31.4
End2.3
Second
5610
#28
21.70.1
22.322.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.0
blue by 18.6
40.33.4
27.130.5
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
Third
7256
#13
20.80.1
15.915.8
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
blue by 0.6
5056
#18
21.43.4
23.226.6
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned