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Red109
780913.1
276761.0
518216.7
Blue84
261135.6
721019.3
423722.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10091608012014010984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+37Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
65Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points12
109Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.02.0
51.453.4
Auto19.9
Teleop35.9
End5.2
red by 25.3
2611
#17
35.61.1
35.734.6
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
Second
5182
#30
16.72.0
18.020.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 6.2
4237
#19
22.91.1
26.825.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End0.6
Third
7809
#32
13.12.0
15.817.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 6.3
7210
#37
19.31.1
14.313.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed