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Qual 442025 FIM District St. Joseph Event presented by Whirlpool
Red114
1066623.3
657039.4
611420.3
Blue94
725620.8
505621.4
1047326.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82590204010012011494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points44
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
89Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
114Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6570
#7
39.41.5
35.1→36.7
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
red by 12.8
10473
#12
26.52.2
19.4→21.7
Auto6.2
Teleop18.5
End1.8
Second
10666
#21
23.32.6
11.5→14.1
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2
red by 1.8
5056
#18
21.42.2
20.5→22.7
Auto2.4
Teleop17.7
End1.3
Third
6114
#14
20.32.6
21.5→24.1
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
blue by 0.5
7256
#13
20.81.3
13.2→14.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed