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Red58
781118.6
7425.5
687729.3
Blue80
261135.6
1047326.5
781412.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70864060801001205880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +20
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
37Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
58Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6877
#22
29.30.5
28.928.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End7.1
blue by 6.4
2611
#17
35.61.0
34.635.6
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End2.2
Second
74
#20
25.50.6
20.219.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6
blue by 1.0
26.51.0
21.722.7
Auto6.2
Teleop18.5
End1.8
Third
7811
#27
18.60.3
14.213.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.5
red by 5.8
7814
#24
12.81.0
13.914.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed