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Red211
1065221.8
3374.6
924555.5
Blue152
150652.7
505333.0
214548.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156142100120180200220211152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave9
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points35
42Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +51
26Coral scored#14
93Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#7
18Processor points12
32Net points28
50Algae points40
143Total teleop92
Reef
15L4#6
9L3#7
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
211Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
74.61.4
72.573.9
Auto14.2
Teleop50.4
End10.1
red by 21.9
52.70.4
52.552.9
Auto11.9
Teleop32.5
End8.4
Second
55.51.4
53.354.8
Auto12.2
Teleop37.5
End5.7
red by 7.0
48.50.4
48.448.8
Auto18.1
Teleop26.4
End4.1
Third
21.81.4
20.421.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.9
blue by 11.2
5053
#30
33.00.4
32.933.3
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4