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Red43
555526.9
771620.8
528222.6
Blue80
977635.9
330216.9
1065221.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688040601001204380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+37
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
25Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points30
43Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#24
26.91.1
25.324.3
Auto5.0
Teleop20.1
End1.8
blue by 9.0
35.91.4
28.927.6
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
Second
5282
#16
22.61.1
13.412.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End6.4
red by 0.8
21.82.3
22.720.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Third
7716
#28
20.81.8
20.418.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
red by 3.9
3302
#41
16.92.3
19.116.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed