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Red53
505333.0
811521.3
1069022.0
Blue55
438419.1
977635.9
836415.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546302040801005355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
40Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
53Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#30
33.00.8
22.621.8
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
blue by 2.9
35.90.8
27.626.8
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
Second
22.00.8
11.911.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
red by 2.9
4384
#26
19.10.8
12.711.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End0.3
Third
8115
#37
21.30.8
16.715.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.9
End2.0
red by 5.5
8364
#36
15.91.4
15.213.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed