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Red62
20135.7
836415.9
771620.8
Blue64
955830.7
562323.1
523520.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91760501502006264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
52Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points12
62Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#31
35.70.8
32.832.0
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
red by 5.0
9558
#20
30.71.3
24.523.2
Auto6.3
Teleop20.5
End3.9
Second
7716
#28
20.81.3
19.017.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End1.8
blue by 2.3
5623
#21
23.10.8
15.314.5
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
Third
8364
#36
15.91.3
13.912.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 5.0
5235
#25
20.80.8
14.713.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned