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Red114
20135.7
505333.0
977635.9
Blue134
923728.3
149843.8
1069022.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10477050150200114134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
80Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
4Foul points6
114Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.1
32.733.8
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
blue by 7.9
1498
#10
43.83.5
37.841.2
Auto8.2
Teleop25.6
End10.0
Second
201
#31
35.71.1
34.235.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
red by 7.4
28.33.5
23.026.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.1
End7.4
Third
5053
#30
33.01.5
26.027.5
Auto6.0
Teleop22.6
End4.4
red by 11.0
22.04.6
15.520.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned