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Red123
436240.8
872841.4
57339.4
Blue75
975111.7
528222.6
562323.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14442010020012375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+60Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
17Coral scored#6
61Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
79Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#3
8L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
123Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.3
42.442.7
Auto8.6
Teleop30.4
End2.4
red by 18.3
5623
#21
23.11.9
19.221.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End2.8
Second
4362
#14
40.80.3
37.237.5
Auto10.5
Teleop26.8
End3.5
red by 18.2
5282
#16
22.61.9
19.721.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Third
573
#13
39.40.3
38.639.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
red by 27.7
9751
#38
11.71.9
7.79.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned