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Red118
506518.4
150652.7
438419.1
Blue68
547811.6
528222.6
836415.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10746015011868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+52Teleop
+44Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points36
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
12Processor points0
24Net points8
36Algae points8
78Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
6Foul points0
118Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.7
51.251.8
Auto11.9
Teleop32.5
End8.4
red by 30.1
5282
#16
22.60.5
21.622.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Second
4384
#26
19.10.7
18.419.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.7
End0.3
red by 3.2
8364
#36
15.90.5
15.315.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Third
5065
#34
18.40.7
17.618.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 6.7
5478
#29
11.60.5
11.211.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed