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Red111
496132.8
81836.5
20135.7
Blue120
543642.8
977635.9
523520.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410450150200111120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +3
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
75Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
111Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#12
36.50.1
36.436.5
Auto4.8
Teleop29.6
End2.2
blue by 6.3
5436
#11
42.80.6
41.341.9
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End9.0
Second
201
#31
35.70.1
35.535.7
Auto8.4
Teleop23.0
End4.3
blue by 0.2
35.90.6
34.435.0
Auto6.1
Teleop25.6
End4.2
Third
4961
#18
32.80.1
32.632.8
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End0.7
red by 11.9
5235
#25
20.80.6
19.419.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3