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Red94
511033.7
607729.6
553438.6
Blue137
759813.7
779040.0
376754.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109112608010012014016018020094137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+45
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +27
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
59Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#7
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
94Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.2
38.938.7
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
blue by 15.5
54.10.7
53.454.1
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
Second
33.70.2
34.033.8
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
blue by 6.3
40.00.7
39.340.0
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Third
6077
#16
29.60.2
29.929.7
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
red by 15.9
7598
#33
13.70.7
13.013.7
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7