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Red98
511033.7
607729.6
553438.6
Blue110
556017.0
779040.0
376754.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109122608010014016018098110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +34
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
63Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
98Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.1
38.738.6
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
blue by 15.5
54.10.0
54.154.1
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
Second
33.70.1
33.833.7
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
blue by 6.3
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Third
6077
#16
29.60.1
29.729.6
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
red by 12.5
5560
#21
17.00.0
17.117.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End0.9