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Red71
861121.0
1060522.2
977125.2
Blue59
71557.3
917628.3
719530.6
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585540506070807159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
49Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
71Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9771
#18
25.21.4
18.519.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End1.0
blue by 5.4
7195
#10
30.60.7
20.621.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.0
End4.5
Second
22.22.4
19.221.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End0.9
blue by 6.2
9176
#25
28.31.2
23.024.2
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Third
8611
#24
21.02.4
11.614.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.7
red by 13.7
7155
#34
7.30.7
4.55.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned