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Red28
780810.4
519326.7
607729.6
Blue59
550412.0
759813.7
511033.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7655020401001201402859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+31
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
3Coral scored#7
9Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
9Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points2
28Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#16
29.64.7
27.222.5
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
blue by 4.1
33.70.2
27.427.6
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
Second
5193
#20
26.74.7
25.220.4
Auto3.0
Teleop22.6
End1.1
red by 13.0
7598
#33
13.70.3
14.014.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Third
7808
#37
10.44.7
12.37.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 1.6
5504
#38
12.00.3
12.612.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned