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Red83
439841.6
954120.5
519326.7
Blue108
779040.0
224616.8
719530.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8377406010012014083108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+1
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points50
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
72Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
83Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#19
41.60.6
31.432.0
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End1.6
red by 1.6
40.02.3
34.136.5
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Second
5193
#20
26.70.6
23.323.9
Auto3.0
Teleop22.6
End1.1
blue by 3.9
7195
#10
30.62.3
22.925.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.0
End4.5
Third
9541
#22
20.50.4
22.522.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
red by 3.7
2246
#23
16.82.3
15.818.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned