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Red71
553438.6
607729.6
759813.7
Blue81
608730.6
71557.3
171135.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92662040801001201401607181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
71Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.5
37.336.8
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
red by 3.6
1711
#11
35.01.3
27.028.2
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End5.6
Second
6077
#16
29.60.8
27.927.1
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
blue by 1.1
6087
#14
30.61.3
29.430.7
Auto4.8
Teleop23.3
End2.5
Third
7598
#33
13.70.8
13.212.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
red by 6.4
7155
#34
7.31.3
5.66.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed