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Red90
780810.4
550412.0
542427.6
Blue124
353724.9
508632.3
607729.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62106020408012014016090124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+40
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
16Coral scored#21
57Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
71Total teleop91
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#9
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points0
90Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#17
27.60.7
27.528.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.1
blue by 4.7
32.31.1
30.531.6
Auto6.1
Teleop18.8
End7.4
Second
5504
#38
12.00.7
9.910.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End3.9
blue by 17.6
6077
#16
29.61.5
25.026.5
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Third
7808
#37
10.40.7
11.812.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 14.5
3537
#31
24.91.1
22.924.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned