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Red106
954120.5
432724.2
171135.0
Blue126
368834.6
719530.6
861121.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78910204060100120140160106126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
73Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
106Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#11
35.01.9
31.733.6
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End5.6
red by 0.5
34.62.7
31.934.6
Auto4.6
Teleop26.2
End3.8
Second
4327
#28
24.21.9
21.323.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 6.4
7195
#10
30.62.7
29.432.1
Auto6.0
Teleop20.0
End4.5
Third
9541
#22
20.51.9
18.820.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
blue by 0.5
8611
#24
21.03.3
18.722.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned